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360 degree analysis of the potential for zero-emission vehicles

Authors: Erik Figenbaum, Inga Margrete Ydersbond, Astrid Helene Amundsen, Daniel Ruben Pinchasik, Rebecca Jayne Thorne, Lasse Fridstrøm, Marika Kolbenstvedt
Report nr: 1744/2019
ISBN (digital version): 978-82-480-2293-0
Language: Norwegian
Attachments Summary
Full report - in Norwegian only

This report analyses the potential and the prerequisites for reaching the National Transport Plans targets of only selling zero-emission passenger cars, small light commercial vehicles (Vans) and city buses in 2025, large vans in 2030 and 50% of new trucks and 75% of new long distance buses. The passenger car target for 2025 is demanding due to the wide variation in user preferences. Strong measures will be required. The goals for city buses and small light commercial vehicles seems attainable with the right policy instruments. The technology converge with user needs the coming year. The 2030 heavy light commercial target seems within reach as this segment lags the small light commercial vehicle development by about 5 years. The 2030 truck and bus targets are much more uncertain as no commercial offerings are in place for these demanding sectors. Hydrogen may play a key role for long distance heavy duty applications.


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