Further development of models for distributions of trip purpose and arrival time of train trips

Distributions for travel purposes and desired arrival time are key inputs in the transport model Trenklin. In 2016/2017, TØI established generic models that can predict these distributions for all train station pairs in Norway. This report documents a further development of these models, as well as the establishment of a model for predicting the type of day (working day or weekend/holidays) that is integrated in the new travel purpose model. The models are estimated on travel survey data from 2019 and therefore represent a "pre-corona" situation. Key explanatory variables in the model are travel time and index values calculated on zone data (for the travel purpose model) and on commuter statistics (for the 24-hour model). The model is segmented by 2 day-types and 9 travel purposes. The results from the model can be used as input in the Trenklin model.