|Authors:||Arvid Strand, Øystein Engebretsen, Chi Kwan Kwong, Linda Isberg, Petter Christiansen|
|ISBN (digital version):||978-82-480-1439-3|
This report documents the efforts to elucidate transport implications of three scenarios - with variations, a total of eight options - developed by Plan Secretariat for Oslo and Akershus. Our three ways to carry out the analysis, a simple alignment indicator, a proprietary model adapted to the task, and traditional transport modeling work shows to a very large extent consistent results. All three shows that it is the growth adjustments in scenario 2 which gives the smallest transport consequences. Changes in the proportion and number of car trips are in the least, as is also transport work and the consequent release of CO2. Each of the procedures and their limited results can be used at various stages of the planning process. In the future work in Plan Secretariat, we believe it should be appropriate to use the insights gained through our analysis, to nuance the redistribution of population and employment growth as the present three scenarios represent.