| Authors: | Stefan Flügel, Rikke Ingebrigtsen, Nina Hulleberg |
| Report nr: | 1558/2017 |
| ISBN (digital version): | 978-82-480-1898-8 |
| Language: | Norwegian |
| Attachments | Summary Full report in Norwegian only Sammendrag |
Commissioned by the Norwegian Rail Administration (JBV), the Institute of Transport Economics (TOI) has established models for trip purpose- and preferred arrival time distributions for personal train trips in Norway. The report documents the input data, methodology development and empirical analyzes that TOI has done in connection with the project. Distributions over trip purposes were established with logit models where the dependent variable is the travel purpose of trips reported in the National travel survey (NTS 2013-2014). The model uses travel time, number and type of jobs and population around train stations, type of train stations (e.g. station close to airports) and the number hotels as explanatory variables. Distributions of preferred arrival time are modeled as mixtures of linear regressions with normally distributed components. For work trips we find a correlation between commuting patterns and the shape of distributions.
