|Authors:||Kjell Werner Johansen, Harald Minken|
|ISBN (digital version):||978-82-480-1101-9|
A major change in railway operations in the Oslo area is planned from 2012, utilizing new double tracks between Lysaker and Asker. NSB who operate the commuter trains in the Oslo area, can thereby increase their train service to the airport to 20 minute intervals, a significant improvement from the current situation. This new service may distort the competitive situation between NSB and Flytoget, the Airport Express Train. The companies' own calculations and our own analysis suggest that such a change in service level, induces a major redistribution of market shares. The reduction for Flytoget, the Airport Express Train, will lead to losses at current cost levels. Although NSB revenues will increase, the overall ticket revenue will fall. User benefit from the improved service will by our calculations, far exceed the reduction in ticket revenues. This result raises a number of problems for the state as owner, regulator and service purchaser in this market.