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A new model for shifting the time of travel in regional transport models

Authors: Stefan Flügel, Tom N Hamre
Report nr: 1727/2019
ISBN (digital version): 978-82-480-2271-8
Language: Norwegian
Attachments Summary
Full report - in Norwegian only
Sammendrag

This report documents the work of establishing a model for shifting the time of travel as a result of time-differentiated changes in the transport supply. The mathematical model is based on within-day-distribution that uses information about commuting patterns to model the relationship between morning- and afternoon rush on a OD level. Changes in generalized travel costs at the hourly level give rise to adjustments in the within-day-distribution, using a logit model. The logit model includes parameters that control the propensity to change in the travel time. These parameters are partially segmented with travel purpose and information on the type of workplaces at destination. The existing implementation is adjusted to regional transport model of the Oslo-area (RTM23+) and is applied to car trips only. The first empirical tests indicate that the proposed model largely gives the expected pattern in the results. At the same time, the report points to several opportunities to improve of the model.

      

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