|Authors:||Anne Madslien, Christian Steinsland, Tariq Maqsood|
|ISBN (digital version):||978-82-480-1184-2|
As an input to the Norwegian National Transport Plan, the Institute of Transport Economics (TØI) has developed new travel demand forecasts for 2014-2023, based on the models NTM5 and RTM. The number of trips is expected to increase roughly in line with the population, the car driver mode showing the highest growth rate, while the lowest rate applies to the bicycle mode. The demographic development, with an increasing proportion of elderly people, is an important element in this development. The long trips will increase more than the shorter trips, thus the number of person kilometres is due to increase more than the number of trips.