|Anne Madslien, Nina Hulleberg, Inger Beate Hovi, Christian Steinsland
|ISBN (digital version):
The Institute of Transport Economics (TØI) has developed new travel demand projections for passenger and freight transport 2018-2050, based on calculations with the models NTM6, RTM and NGM. (TØI report 1718/2019). The projections apply to a situation where no other instruments have been included than some infrastructure projects, a continued increase in the share of electric cars and removal of tolls outside the cities. Thus, car use is relatively cheaper compared to other modes of transport. In order to assess the robustness of the results, some sensitivity calculations have been made. These have calculated the effect of changed assumptions for population growth, economic development and technological development, as well as rough calculations of what phasing-in rate and mileage costs for electric cars mean for modal split and traffic work by passenger car.