The Traffic Potential of Norwegian Airports

This project is an evaluation of the traffic potential of Norwegian airports, based on a historical trend analysis and a mapping of the geographical and functional spheres of influence of the individual airport. Particularly stressed is the importance of understanding the area characteristics in a future setting where growth rates of demand in general will possibly decrease, and in which the air transport sector in particular will face new institutional and organizatorial challenges. The report includes a conceptual discussion of 'forecasting'. It is argued that an analysis of present developments is particularly well suited to understand the new driving forces in air transportation, and the conditions for their potential behavioural and market impacts.