| Authors: | Anne Madslien, Tonje Lysø, Christian Steinsland, Inger Beate Hovi, Wiljar Hansen, Bjørn Gjerde Johansen |
| Report nr: | 1957/2023 |
| ISBN (digital version): | 978-82-480-2018-9 |
| Language: | Norwegian |
| Attachments | Summary - in Norwegian only Full report |
In connection with the transport authorities' work to reach the climate targets for the transport sector in 2030, TØI has assisted with the calculation of future transport volumes and CO2-emissions in two "climate trajectories". In these paths, measures are taken to reduce transport activity, while an optimistic phasing-in rate for zero-emission vehicles and a high blending of biofuel is assumed. Both the measures, in the form of strong price increases for transport, and assumed technology development and bio-blending, are challenging to implement in practice, and it will be very difficult to reach a climate target where the emissions from the entire transport sector in 2030 should be 55 per cent lower than in 1990. This corresponds to a 65 percent reduction from the emissions in 2021.
