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Projections for freight transport 2018-2050.

Authors: Anne Madslien, Inger Beate Hovi
Report nr: 1825/2021
ISBN (digital version): 978-82-480-1404-1
Language: Norwegian
Attachments Summary - in Norwegian only
Full report - in Norwegian only

The Institute of Transport Economics (TØI) has developed revised projections for freight transport 2018-2050, based on calculations with the National Freight Transport Model (NGM). The projections apply to a situation where no new measures are being introduced to influence transport demand or mode choice in any particular direction. For freight transport, an overall increase in transport work in the Norwegian area of 29% is calculated. The largest increase is calculated for road transport (70%), while sea and railway grow 20 and 35% respectively when we keep crude oil and natural gas out. If these product groups are included, the growth for the sea will be lower, due to lower development in the oil sector than in other sectors.


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