|Authors:||Petter Dybedal, Jens Kristian Steen Jacobsen|
|ISBN (digital version):||978-82-480-2219-0|
|Attachments||Summary - in Norwegian only
Full report - in Norwegian only
Forecasts made by the Institute of Transport Economics indicate a growth in number of cruise tourists from 600.000 to 1.000.000 in 2040 in south-western Norway. This increase may partly be possible by dispersing calls to ports with vacant capacity. However, the primary cruise destinations Bergen and Geiranger will not have sufficient capacity to meet the expected increase in cruise ship calls and passenger numbers. New requirements, like zero emissions in the World Heritage Site fjord areas, differentiated port fees (based on emissions) and limitations in permitted number of cruise passengers per port per day, are expected to reduce traffic. Effects of such regulations depend on to what degree corresponding regulations might be implemented in other cruise regions. It also depends on how cruise lines and their customers respond to cruises that do not include the iconic destinations Bergen and Geiranger.