| Authors: | Bjørn Gjerde Johansen, Vegard Østli, Askill Harkjerr Halse |
| Report nr: | 1986/2023 |
| ISBN (digital version): | 978-82-480-2049-3 |
| Language: | Norwegian |
| Attachments | Summary, pdf Full report, pdf, in Norwegian only Sammendrag, pdf |
We look at implemented and potential future changes in tax rates for electric cars, and how they affect direct greenhouse gas emissions from passenger vehicles in Oslo towards 2030. The assessments are made based on a combination of existing research, new counterfactural simulations with the BIG model and new econometric analyses. The results show that tax changes that make it less profitable to own and use an electric car will mean that emissions in Oslo will not decrease as quickly as previously assumed. The changes that have the most impact are full toll rates and full value added tax for electric cars. As the analyzes are based on historical data and the electric car market is developing rapidly, there is considerable uncertainty in the estimates.
