Authors: | Daniel Ruben Pinchasik |
Report nr: | 2079/2025 |
ISBN (digital version): | 978-82-480-1757-8 |
Language: | Norwegian |
Attachments | Summary, pdf Full report, in Norwegian only, pdf Sammendrag, pdf |
Increasing uncertainty, the transition to a low-emission society, and other major societal challenges have triggered a need for new planning methods, both within transport and society at large. Rather than planning incrementally, based on historical trends and adopted policy, society should plan for the future it desires and transformative change. This requires foresight methods that cover how the future should look, and possible pathways there. New planning methods should enable larger changes, ensure that a low-emission society is achieved by 2050, account for nature and land-use objectives, and ensure efficient use of scarce resources. Two such planning methods are backcasting and extended scenario methodology. These can be combined with ‘accessibility’ or ‘sufficiency’ perspectives and the Avoid-Shift-Improve-framework (‘UFF’). This report synthesizes current knowledge and knowledge and methodological needs, and intuitively presents ‘new’ planning perspectives: what must be in place, how should we plan, how not, and how can and should ‘new’ methods and planning perspectives be used in practice?