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PINGO A model for prediction of regional and interregional freight transport. Version 1

Authors: Olga Ivanova, Arild Vold, Viggo Jean-Hansen
Report nr: 578/2002
ISBN: 82-480-0266-7
Language: English
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National transport planners need knowledge of factors that affects the demand for freight transport, and forecasts of growth rates for transport within and between counties in Norway and between counties in Norway and other countriesThis document describes and verifies a Spatial Computable General Equilibrium (SCGE) model that predicts this transport growth rates (PINGO).National Accounts by County and the real network model for freight transport in Norway (NEMO) and Foreign Trade Statistics were the main data sources that we used for creating input data and for model estimation.The overall impression of results from four test cases is that the model behaves qualitatively appropriate, but that some modifications are needed to adequately represent the import activity.

      

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