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Forecastingmodels for air traffic

Authors: Geir Thomas Knutheim
Report nr: 1136/1999
Language: Norwegian
Attachments Sammendrag

This working report presents different air traffic forecasting models for Norway. The models forecast the number of travellers at 17 chosen links on the conventional Norwegian network. The passengers are divided into two marked segments, business and leisure travellers. Properties and results from models developed in this working report are compared to existing models developed by the Institute of Transport Economics. The existing models are PHOENIX and “The National Model System for Private Travel”. The working report also presents a reestimation of PHOENIX, including a dividing of this model into business and leisure travellers. The working report also includes a discussion of the underlying data material and the research on which the models are based.


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