|Authors:||Lasse Fridstrøm, Göran Tegner|
The municipalities of Sweden will implement the "Vision Zero" of road safety at varying pace, by – e g – rebuilding the roads, lowering the speed limits, or enforcing safety standards in public agencies. This "natural experiment" might pave the ground for a powerful, pooled cross-section/time-series analysis of road accidents and their determinants, by means of which the practical impact of the "Vision Zero" should be estimable, with steadily increasing precision over time. The present feasibility study examines whether such a modelling approach would indeed be fruitful, and under what conditions statistically significant effect parameter estimates can be expected. As part of the feasibility study, a «pseudo Monte-Carlo experiment» has been carried out.